现代化大农业发展评价研究

Research on Evaluation of Modernization Large-Agricultural Development

摘要: 现代化大农业是国家现代化农业的典型代表，也是现代农业的重要生产方式。对其发展状况评价，有助于国家建立现代农业和现代化农业发展评价指标体系。为此，采用调研法、文献检索法、逻辑推理法和主因子分析法等，探索归集了影响现代化大农业发展的四大类共20个要素指标，构建出现代化大农业发展水平的评价指标体系；并选取直接相关的10个重要指标，运用SPSS软件进行因子分析，据以对示范区现代化大农业发展要素进行排序：农业科技贡献率和有效灌溉面积是影响现代化化大农业发展的首要因素，农机总动力、农业机械化率和粮食商品化率是重要支撑要素，耕地规模、农民收入、能源和农业服务则是现代化大农业赖以发展基础。

Abstract: Modernization large agriculture is the typical representative of modern agriculture in the country and an important mode of production for modern agriculture. The evaluation of its development helps the country to establish the evaluation index system of modern agriculture and modern agricultural development. To this end, the investigation and research method, literature retrieval method, logical reasoning method and the principal factor analysis are used to explore the collection of four major categories affecting the development of modern agriculture, a total of 20 elements of indicators to build a modern evaluation of the level of development of large agriculture. The select of 10 directly related important indicators, the use of SPSS software for factor analysis, so as to order the development of modern agriculture in demonstration areas: the contribution rate of agricultural science and technology and effective irrigated area are the main factors affecting the development of modern agriculture. The total power of agricultural machinery, the rate of agricultural mechanization and the rate of food commercialization are important supporting elements. The scale of arable land, peasants’ income, energy and agricultural services are the bases for the development of modern large-scale agriculture.