山东省产业结构优化对经济增长的影响—基于17地市的GMM检验

The Influence of Industrial Structure Optimization on Economic Growth in Shandong—Based on the GMM Test of 17 Cities

摘要: 本文选用产业结构合理化和产业结构高级化作为度量产业结构优化的指标，并考察了山东省产业结构优化进程，在此基础上，采用面板广义矩估计法对产业结构优化与经济增长的关系进行了实证检验。研究发现，山东省产业结构合理化对经济增长的影响大于产业结构高级化，产业结构的合理化发展与经济增长存在长期稳定关系，而产业结构高级化与经济增长的关系则呈现出不确定性。据此，建议山东省要重点推动产业结构合理化发展，在保障不同地区要素投入结构和产出结构耦合的基础上，推动产业服务化发展。

Abstract: This paper selects the rationalization of industrial structure and its high degree as indicators to measure the optimization of industrial structure and inspect the process of industrial structure optimization in Shandong Province, and then we use the Generalized Method of moments to estimate the relationship between industrial structure optimization and economic growth. The result shows that the impact of industrial structure rationalization on economic growth is greater than that on industrial structure supererogation, and there is a long-term stable relationship between the industrial structure rationalization and the economic growth, but the relationship between the industrial structure supererogation and the economic growth is uncertain. Accordingly, it is suggested that Shandong province should focus on promoting the development of industrial structure rationalization, and promote the development of industry service under the interconnection of input structure and output structure in different regions.