基于最大熵原理的武器作战效能预测研究

The Prediction of Effectiveness of Weapons and Combat Based on the Principle of Maximum Entropy

摘要: 分别采用层次分析法(AHP)和模糊综合评判法(FCE)对武器作战效能进行预测。然后在阐述最大熵原理优点的基础上，对传统方法进行了改进，并将得到的结果作了比较，结论证明最大熵原理的预测准确度高于AHP和FCE，对实际作战有一定的指导作用。

Abstract: AHP and fuzzy comprehensive evaluation (FCE) were respectively used for the forecast of the ef-fectiveness of weapons and combat. Then on the basis of merit of maximum entropy principle, the traditional method has been improved, and concluded that the principle of maximum entropy had higher forecast accuracy. Thus it can play a guiding role on the actual operations.