农村居民消费对我国经济增长的影响研究

The Impact of Rural Residents’ Consumption on China’s Economic Growth

摘要: 消费对我国经济有举足轻重的作用，我国是一个农业大国，农村居民所占比例非常高，所以研究我国农村居民消费情况有着重要的意义。本文首先对我国农村居民消费现状进行分析；其次，采用1997~2015年的面板数据来分析农村居民的消费对我国经济增长的影响。结果表明：农村居民的消费结构从原始的以食品、衣着等生活必需型消费，开始转向享受型消费结构；农村居民消费的贡献率相对较低，但是有很大的发展空间；农村居民消费对经济发展影响较大，农村居民的人均消费每增加一个百分点，我国国内生产总值增加约0.9%。

Abstract: Consumption plays an important role in China's economy. China is a large agricultural country, and the proportion of rural residents is very high. Therefore, it is of great significance to study the consumption of rural residents in China. Firstly, this paper analyzes the current consumption situation of rural residents in China; secondly, it uses panel data from 1997 to 2015 to analyze the impact of rural residents’ consumption on China’s economic growth. The results show that the consumption structure of rural residents has changed from the original consumption of food and clothing to the enjoyable consumption structure; the contribution rate of rural residents’ consumption is relatively low, but there is a lot of room for development; rural residents’ consumption has a great impact on economic development, and with the per capita consumption of rural residents increasing by one percentage point, China’s gross domestic product has increased by about 0.9%.