基于平行向量自回归时间序列VAR(2)的蛋鸭室外养殖环境预测模型

The Prediction Model of Egg Duck Outdoor Culture Environment Based on Parallel

摘要: 养殖环境的精准预测一直是水禽养殖业亟需解决的棘手难题。本文以温度、湿度、风向和太阳辐射等室外养殖环境参数为研究对象，通过平行向量自回归时间序列VAR(2)(Vector Autoregressive (2))模型预测方法，优化具有效率高、精度高的蛋鸭养殖环境线性预测模型，实现了蛋鸭健康养殖环境精准预测、预警与控制。

Abstract: It has always been a difficult problem that is accurate prediction of breeding environment in waterfowl breeding industry. Taking the outdoor culture environment parameters such as temperature, humidity, wind direction and solar radiation as the research object, this paper proposed a linear prediction model of egg duck culture environment with high efficiency, and high precision by using the parallel vector autoregressive time series VAR(2) (Vector Autoregressive (2)) model prediction method which realizes a accurate prediction, early warning and control of the healthy culture environment of egg duck.