江西省经济发展与产业结构关系研究

Research on the Relationship between Economic Development and Industrial Structure in Jiangxi Province

摘要: 本文主要采用岭回归和格兰杰因果检验的方法，研究了江西省的经济发展与产业结构之间的关系。文中以人均GDP和货币供应量代表江西省的经济发展水平，以三大产业的增加值代表产业结构。研究结果表明，三大产业对经济发展都有促进的作用，三大产业对经济发展的重要性由大到小为：第三产业、第二产业、第一产业。此外，货币供应量会促进第二产业和第三产业的发展，但第一产业的结果则相反。为了促进江西省经济又好又快地发展，文章在最后给出了相关的政策性建议。

Abstract: This paper mainly uses the method of ridge regression and Granger causality test to study the relationship between economic development and industrial structure in Jiangxi Province. In this paper, the GDP per capita and the money supply represent the level of economic development in Jiangxi Province, and the industrial value is represented by the added value of the three major industries. The research results show that the three major industries have a promoting effect on economic development. The importance of the three major industries to economic development from big to small is as the following: tertiary industry, secondary industry and primary industry. In addition, the money supply will promote the development of the secondary and tertiary industries, but the results of the primary industry are the opposite. In order to promote the sound and rapid development of Jiangxi Province, the article gives relevant policy recommendations at the end.