基于多元耦合模型的矿产资源承载力评价及可持续发展——以山东省潍坊市为例

Evaluation of Mineral Resources Carrying Capacity and Sustainable Development Based on Multivariate Coupled Model—Take Weifang City, Shandong Province as an Example

摘要: 潍坊市是山东省重要的矿产资源城市，兼顾沿海及内陆矿产资源双重特性。该区域矿产资源种类较多，矿山开发利用点较多，但是资源储量后备不足，矿业开发较粗放，带来一定的生态环境问题。要实现该地区矿业经济的可持续发展，必须要评估和提高矿产资源承载力，走矿业绿色可持续发展道路。本研究选用潍坊市境内储量相对较大，对国民经济发展有一定作用的代表性矿种：石油、煤炭、金属矿产、卤水矿作为矿产资源承载力评价的对象，构建了单矿种矿产资源承载力评价指标体系和评价模型，在此基础上，多元耦合单矿种矿产资源承载力并以县区为评价单元，开展了潍坊市的矿产资源承载力总体评价。结果表明，整个潍坊市绝大多数县区矿产资源承载力较低，其中，昌邑市矿产承载力为优，寒亭区为良，坊子区、寿光市、昌乐县为一般等级，其余7个县市、区矿产资源承载力等级为差，提出了加大矿业生态修复和环境保护、大力发展矿业集群产业链及循环经济、绿色矿山建设、提升矿业科技创新等矿产资源开发可持续发展对策。

Abstract: Weifang City is an important mineral resource city in Shandong Province, taking into account the dual characteristics of coastal and inland mineral resources. There are many kinds of mineral re-sources and many exploitation and utilization mines in this region. However, there are realistic problems such as insufficient reserve of mineral resources and extensive mining development, which brings about certain ecological environment problems. In order to realize the sustainable development of mining economy in this region, it is necessary to evaluate and improve the carrying capacity of mineral resources and take the road of green sustainable development of mining industry. In this study, we select some representative mineral with relatively large reserves, which plays a certain role in national economic development: oil, coal, metal minerals, brine minerals as the object of mineral resources carrying capacity evaluation, and the evaluation index system and evaluation model of single mineral resources carrying capacity are constructed. On this basis, multiple coupling the single mineral resources carrying capacity, the overall evaluation of the carrying capacity of mineral resources in Weifang City is carried out by counties and counties. The results show that the carrying capacity of mineral resources in most counties and districts of Weifang city is low. Among them, Changyi city has the best bearing capacity of mineral resources, Hanting district is good, Fangzi district, Shouguang city and Changle county are general grade, and the other seven counties and districts have the poor bearing capacity of mineral resources. It is proposed to strengthen ecological restoration and environmental protection of mining industry, vigorously develop cluster industry chain and circular economy of mining industry and green mine construction, promoting scientific and technological innovation in mining industry and other sustainable development countermeasures for mineral resources development.