“一带一路”沿线地区间贸易结合度与互补性——基于绍兴外贸数据的实证分析

The Degree of Trade Integration and Complementarity between Regions along the “One Belt and One Road”—Based on the Empirical Analysis of Shaoxing’s Foreign Trade Data

摘要: 加强“一带一路”沿线地区间经济合作是推进各国经济共同协调发展的重要途径。以绍兴对外贸易数据为例，采用贸易结合度指数、产业内贸易指数，对绍兴与“一带一路”沿线国家商品贸易结合度和互补性进行实证分析。结果表明：绍兴与东盟、南亚、西亚、中亚地区的贸易关系较为紧密，与独联体、中东欧地区的贸易联系较为松散；与沿线国家间的商品贸易以产业间贸易为主，互补性大于竞争性。据此提出了深化绍兴与沿线国家贸易合作的对策建议。

Abstract: Strengthening the economic cooperation between regions along the “one belt and one road” area is an important way to promote the coordinated development of all countries’ economies. Taking Shaoxing’s foreign trade data as an example, we use Trade Integration Index and Intra-industry Trade Index to analyze the degree of trade integration and complementarity of commodities be-tween Shaoxing and other countries along the “one belt and one road” area. The results show that the trade relations between Shaoxing and ASEAN, South Asia, West Asia and Central Asia are rela-tively close, and the trade relations with CIS and CEE are relatively loose; the commodity trade with the countries in these specific regions is mainly intra-industry trade, and the trade comple-mentarity is greater than the competitiveness. Based on this, the paper puts forward counter-measures and suggestions to deepen the trade cooperation between Shaoxing and the countries along the “one belt and one road” area.