TRMM卫星降水数据在川渝地区的适用性分析——以2017年为例

Applicability Analysis of TRMM Satellite Pre-cipitation Data in Sichuan-Chongqing Region—A Case in 2017

摘要: 本文利用2017年川渝地区71个地面站点的实测降水数据，在年、月和日尺度上验证了TRMM 3B42V7降水数据的精度，分析TRMM卫星降水数据在该地区的适用性。结果表明，在年、月和日尺度上，TRMM 3B42V7与实测降水数据之间均呈显著线性关系，但回归方程斜率都较小，分别为0.249、0.290和0.198，且降水量相对误差较高，分别为−68.60%、−65.88%和−65.77%。这说明TRMM 3B42V7降水数据显著低估实际降水量，但通过线性回归方程可估算出实际降水量。就单个站点而言，月尺度上绝大部分站点降水实测数据与TRMM 3B42V7的相关系数较高，平均值高达0.915；而在日尺度上气象站点的降水实测数据与TRMM 3B42V7降水量之间的相关系数平均值下降为0.622。无论是月尺度还是日尺度上，峨眉山站的相关系数最小，分别为0.628和0.191。

Abstract: Based on the measured precipitation from 71 meteorological stations of Sichuan-Chongqing region in 2017, the accuracy of precipitation data from TRMM 3B42V7 is verified and the applicability analysis of TRMM 3B42V7 satellite precipitation data is conducted on the yearly, monthly and daily scale. The results show that there are significant linear relationships between TRMM 3B42V7 pre-cipitation and measured precipitation on the yearly, monthly and daily scale, while their slope of regression equation is all small, which is 0.249, 0.290 and 0.198, respectively. Moreover, on the yearly, monthly and daily scale, relative errors of precipitation between measured data and TRMM 3B42V7 satellite data are −68.60%, −65.88% and −65.77%, respectively. These indicate that the measured precipitation is significantly underestimated by TRMM 3B42V7 precipitation data, but can be estimated more accurately by linear regression equation. For individual stations, at most stations, the correlation coefficients between TRMM 3B42V7 precipitation and measured precipitation are reasonably high , which of average value is as high as 0.915 on the monthly scale, but the correlation coefficient decreases to 0.622 on the daily scale. Whether on the monthly scale or on the daily scale, the correlation coefficient at Mount Emei Station is comparatively low in 71 meteorological stations, which is 0.628 and 0.191, respectively.