新冠肺炎背景下对大流行病的分类界定研究
Classification and Definition of Pandemic in the Context of COVID-19
DOI: 10.12677/SA.2020.95080, PDF,   
作者: 邱纪元：沈阳航空航天大学航空宇航学院，辽宁 沈阳；王富帅：沈阳航空航天大学材料与工程学院，辽宁 沈阳；朴凤贤*：沈阳航空航天大学理学院，辽宁 沈阳
关键词: 新冠肺炎；定性定量；分类研究；COVID-19； Qualitative and Quantitative； Classification
摘要: 2020年3月12日，世界卫生组织宣布新型冠状病毒肺炎是一种大流行病。如何对流行性传染病有关大流行病或流行病进行界定一直是备受关注的问题。本文通过选用历史上已被确认为大流行病或流行病的传染病，依据大流行病严重程度评估框架建立分类体系，利用主成分分析法提取主成分，并建立系统聚类与二分类Logistic回归分析模型分别对于这些传染病进行定性定量分类研究，为流行性传染病的界定提供一种思路。
Abstract: On March 12, 2020, the World Health Organization (WHO) declared COVID-19 a pandemic. How to define pandemics or epidemics related to diseases has been a matter of great concern. This paper selects infectious diseases that have historically been identified as pandemics or epidemics and establishes a classification system based on the framework for assessing the severity of pandemics, principal component analysis is used to extract principal components, and establish systematic clustering and dichotomous Logistic regression analysis model for the qualitative and quantitative classification of these infectious diseases. It provides a way of thinking for the definition of epidemic infectious diseases.
文章引用：邱纪元, 王富帅, 朴凤贤. 新冠肺炎背景下对大流行病的分类界定研究[J]. 统计学与应用, 2020, 9(5): 773-783. https://doi.org/10.12677/SA.2020.95080

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