大学生预防公共突发事件模型的构建及评价

The Construction and Evaluation of the Model of College Students’ Prevention of Public Emergencies

摘要: 通过对大学生预防公共突发事件各个因素分析，结合个人、学校、社会三个方面，选取18个指标建立公共突发事件评价指标模型，利用层次分析法求解，计算出各个指标对总目标的权重，且进行排序。从建模结果可以看出：权重值排前四的分别是公共交通、社会服务、社会治安和出行不便。在预防公共突发事件时，根据建模的结果可以更有目的地实施对策，这对大学生有效预防公共突发事件具有重要参考意义。

Abstract: Through the analysis of various factors in preventing public emergencies among college students, combining the three aspects of individuals, schools, and society, 18 indicators are selected to establish a public emergencies evaluation index model, and the analytic hierarchy process is used to solve the problem to calculate the weight of each indicator to the overall goal is calculated, and sort. From the modeling results, it can be seen that the top four weight values are public transportation, social services, social security, and travel inconvenience. When preventing public emergencies, based on the results of modeling, countermeasures can be implemented more purposefully, which have important reference significance for college students to effectively prevent public emergencies.