基于面板数据的湖北省交通运输结构实证分析

Empirical analysis of Transportation Structure in Hubei Province Based on Panel Data

摘要: 本文从湖北省的GDP、人口和产业结构等方面，基于面板数据运用DEA-Malmquist模型对2017~2020年湖北省交通运输结构进行实证分析。结果表明：1) 湖北省交通运输结构和不同交通运输方式的效率均较低，主要是交通运输结构在技术进步和创新方面的效率较低导致的；2) 湖北省不同交通运输方式的发展程度均衡，其中航空运输的发展状况较好，铁路发展状况较差。该研究为了解湖北省交通运输结构提供了独特的视角，为决策者设计良好的政策以均衡发展各种交通运输方式提供了一定的见解和理论依据。

Abstract: In this paper, an empirical analysis is made on the transportation structure of Hubei Province from the aspects of GDP, population and industrial structure of Hubei Province in 2017~2020 based on panel data using DEA-Malmquist model. The results show that: 1) The efficiency of transportation structure and different transportation modes in Hubei province is low, which is mainly caused by the low efficiency of transportation structure in technological progress and innovation; 2) The development degree of different transportation modes in Hubei province is balanced, among which air transportation is in a good condition and railway is in a poor condition. This study provides a unique perspective for understanding the transportation structure of Hubei Province, and provides some insights and theoretical basis for decision-makers to design good policies to balance the development of various transportation modes.