不同阶段中生育意愿影响因素分析——基于CGSS2017数据

Analysis of Influencing Factors of Fertility Intention in Different Stages—Based on CGSS2017 data

摘要: 基于中国综合社会调查(CGSS) 2017年数据，分析在不同阶段中，个体特征、健康情况、经济状况等因素对生育意愿的影响。在第一阶段，经济状况对生育意愿没有显著影响，已生育儿子和心理健康状况对生育意愿有抑制影响；在第二阶段，受教育水平、经济状况等对生育意愿有显著提高作用，而身体、心理健康状况对生育意愿有抑制影响；在第三阶段，幸福感、经济状况等对生育意愿有提高作用，而心理健康、受教育水平对生育意愿有抑制作用。在个体特征相对固定的情况下，提高居民收入水平，增加家庭居住面积，关注居民健康状况以促进生育意愿，夯实人口生育基数。

Abstract: Based on the data from China Comprehensive Social Survey (CGSS) in 2017, this paper analyzes the impact of individual characteristics, health status, economic status and other factors on fertility intention in different stages. In the first stage, economic status has no significant effect on fertility intention, but having sons and mental health status have an inhibitory effect on fertility intention; In the second stage, education level and economic status have a significant stimulating effect on fertility intention, while physical and mental health have an inhibitory effect on fertility intention; In the third stage, happiness and economic status stimulate fertility intention, while mental health and education level inhibit fertility intention. In the case of relatively fixed individual characteristics, we should improve the income level of residents, increase the family living area, pay attention to the health status of residents, so as to promote the fertility will and consolidate the population fertility base.