基于MISOHRM模型的非一致性洪水频率计算方法及应用II： 西江中游水文要素时空变异规律
Algorithm and Application of Inconsistent Flood Frequency Based on the MISOHRM Model (II): Temporal and Spatial Alteration Analysis
DOI: 10.12677/JWRR.2012.15047, PDF, HTML,  被引量    国家自然科学基金支持
作者: 李析男, 谢平, 许斌, 刘 宇：武汉大学水资源与水电工程科学国家重点实验室，武汉
关键词: 水文要素；时空尺度；变异规律；西江流域； Hydrological Elements; Temporal and Spatial Scale; Alteration Regulations; Xi River
摘要:

西江中游由于缺乏湖泊对洪水的调蓄，加之防洪堤不断地加高加固引起洪水归槽，加强了洪水遭遇效应，导致洪水发生的频率和强度发生变化。为了解西江中游水文要素变异的驱动力和时空变异规律，为多输入单输出水文相关模型(MISOHRM)的建立及非一致性洪水频率计算方法提供基础依据，本文利用1958~2007年西江中游七个水文站两个区间的水文要素序列，采用水文变异诊断系统对各要素进行变异分析。结果显示西江中游干流上的武宣、大湟江口和梧州站的洪峰流量序列关系密切，变异点也较为一致；而支流上的站点间以及站点和区间之间联系程度不紧密。 With the higher and harder levees and no lakes to storage the flood at the middle Xi River, the en-counter and return to main channel of flood were strengthened and the frequency and intensity of flood were changed. Because of the basic function of hydrological elements alteration analysis to the MISOHRM model and inconsistent flood frequency algorithm, with the hydrological series of 7 hydrological stations at the middle Xi River from the year of 1958 to 2007, the hydrological alteration diagnosis system was used to analyze the alteration regulation. The results show that, the relationship of the Wuxuan, Wuzhou and Da-huangjiangkou stations in the main stream is close and consistent, but the relationship between stations and regions in the tributary are not apparent.

 

文章引用：李析男, 谢平, 许斌, 刘宇. 基于MISOHRM模型的非一致性洪水频率计算方法及应用II： 西江中游水文要素时空变异规律[J]. 水资源研究, 2012, 1(5): 310-314. http://dx.doi.org/10.12677/JWRR.2012.15047

参考文献

[1] 黄夏坤, 郝振纯, 梁才贵, 等. 防洪堤对洪水的归槽影响研究[J]. 中山大学学报(自然科学版), 2008, 47(增刊2): 151-157. HUANG Xiakun, HAO Zhengchun, LIANG Caigui, et al. Stud- ies on the influence of prevent-flood dam on flood retaining to main channel. Acta Scientiarum Naturaliumun Iversitatis Sunyatseni, 2008, 47(Suppl. 2): 151-157. (in Chinese)
[2] 吕忠华, 胥加仕, 刘建业. 西江中下游洪水归槽问题研究[J]. 人民珠江, 2002, 6: 37-40. LV Zhonghua, XU Jiashi and LIU Jianye. Study of flood retain- ing to main channel in the middle and lower reaches of Xi River. Pearl River, 2002, 6: 37-40. (in Chinese)
[3] 水利部水文局, 水利部珠江水利委员会水文局编著. 2005年珠江暴雨洪水[M]. 北京: 中国水利水电出版社, 2007. Hydrology, Ministry of Water Resource, Hydrology Bureau of Pearl River Conservancy Commission, Ministry of Water Resource. 2005 Pearl River storm and flood. Beijing: China Water Power Press, 2007. (in Chinese)
[4] 李景堂, 王开元. 珠江防洪减灾对策探讨[J]. 人民珠江, 1999, 4: 12-18. LI Jingtang, WANG Kaiyuan. Discussion on counter measure of flood control and disaster mitigation of Pearl River. Pearl River, 1999, 4: 12-18. (in Chinese)
[5] 谢平, 许斌, 刘宇, 等. 基于MISOCRM模型的非一致性洪水频率计算方法及应用(I): 原理与方法[J]. 水资源研究, 2012, 1(4): 217-221. XIE Ping, XU Bin, LIU Yu, et al. Algorithm and application of inconsistent flood frequency based on the MISOHRM model (I): Principals and algorithm. Journal of Water Resources Research, 1(4): 217-221. (in Chinese)
[6] 谢平, 陈广才, 雷红富, 等. 水文变异诊断系统[J]. 水力发电学报, 2010, 29(1): 85-91. XIE Ping, CHEN Guangcai, LEI Hongfu, et al. Hydrological alteration diagnosis system. Journal of Hydroelectric Engineering, 2010, 29(1): 85-91. (in Chinese)
[7] 黄嘉宏, 张勇, 罗忠宏. 广西45年来降水和气温的长期变化特征[J]. 广西气象, 2003, 24(4): 35-39. HUANG Jiahong, ZHANG Yong and LUO Zhonghong. Tendency characteristic of precipitation and temperature changes in the past 45 years in Guangxi. Journal of Guangxi Meteorology, 2003, 24(4): 35-39. (in Chinese)
[8] 黄伟民, 杜文印, 钟红伟. 西江“94•6”、“98•6”、“05•6”暴雨洪水比较分析[J]. 水科学与工程技术, 2005: 30-32． HUANG Weimin, DU Wenyin and ZHONG Hongwei. Analysis of storm-floods of “94•6”, ”98•6”, “05•6” in Xi River. Water Science and Hydropower Engineering, 2005: 30-32. (in Chinese)
[9] 黄夏坤, 郝振纯, 梁才贵, 朱长军. 浔江防洪堤对西江中下游洪水的归槽影响[J]. 桂林工学院学报, 2009, 29(1): 53-57. HUANG Xiakun, HAO Zhenchun, LIANG Caigui and ZHU changjun. Influence of Xun river flood embankment on flood retaining to main channel in the middle and lower reaches of Xi river. Journal of Guilin University of Technology, 2009, 29(1): 53-57. (in Chinese)