基于二元回归模型的苏州市城市社区居家养老服务需求研究

Study on the Demand of Urban Community Home-Based Elderly Care Service in Suzhou Based on Binary Regression Model

摘要: 在生活条件和医疗条件提高的基础上，老年人的寿命随之增加，直到2025年，我国将成为超老年国家。现如今的养老问题在人口老龄化趋势的状态下愈加严肃，日益发展的经济水平使得人们对美好生活的追求愈加强烈，传统的家庭养老服务已经很难满足当前老年人多层次多样化的养老服务需求。同时随着积极老龄化的提出，使得养老模式得到发展和创新。针对上述问题和现象的考虑，本篇文章通过使用问卷调查法、统计分析法等社会研究方法，对苏州市城区的老年人群对社区居家养老服务的需求及现状以及影响老年人养老需求的因素进行较为详细的分析，以期将积极老龄化理念贯彻到社区居家养老的建设发展中去促进苏州市城区社区居家养老服务发展，使得老年人拥有更加健康充实的晚年生活。

Abstract: Based on the improvement of living conditions and medical conditions, the life expectancy of the elderly will increase. By 2025, China will become a super elderly country. Nowadays, the pension problem is becoming more and more serious under the trend of population aging. The growing economic level makes people’s pursuit of a better life more and more intense. The traditional family pension service has been difficult to meet the current multi-level and diversified pension service needs of the elderly. At the same time, with the proposal of active aging, the pension model has been developed and innovated. In view of the above problems and phenomena, by using social re-search methods such as questionnaire survey and statistical analysis, this paper makes a detailed analysis on the demand and current situation of the elderly in Suzhou City for community home-based elderly care services and the factors affecting the elderly’s elderly care demand, in or-der to implement the concept of active aging into the construction and development of community home-based elderly care, promote the development of community home-based elderly care services in Suzhou City, and make the elderly have a more healthy and fulfilling old age life.