三孩生育意愿及其影响因素调查研究——以杭州市居民为例
Investigation and Study of the Willingness to Have Three Children and Its Influencing Factors—Taking Residents in Hangzhou for Instance
DOI: 10.12677/SA.2022.114082, PDF,   
作者: 沈佳奇#, 金莹莹, 严雨晨, 吕 平:杭州师范大学数学学院,浙江 杭州;金鑫焱#, 吴 喆:杭州师范大学物理学院,浙江 杭州
关键词: 三孩政策生育意愿因子分析模型Three-Child Policy Willingness to Have Children Factor Analysis Model
摘要: 本文以杭州市居民为调查群体,旨在了解三孩政策在杭州市全面实施的可能性,从中寻找相关问题并提出合理建议。主要采用分层抽样法进行问卷调查,就三孩生育意愿的影响因素及其影响程度建立因子分析模型。团队通过分析群体目前生育情况、三孩生育意愿度、对多方面影响因素的顾虑程度等信息,大致了解居民对响应三孩政策的态度。最后提出一些针对性建议,以响应国家政策的号召,推动三孩政策的不断落实。
Abstract: This article takes the residents of Hangzhou as the survey group to understand the possibility of the full implementation of the three-child policy in Hangzhou, find relevant problems and make reasonable suggestions. The questionnaire survey was mainly carried out by stratified sampling method, and a factor analysis model was established on the influencing factors of the willingness to have three children and the degree of influence. By analyzing the current fertility situation of the group, the willingness to have three children, and the degree of concern about many influencing factors, the team roughly understands the residents’ attitudes towards the three-child policy. Finally, some targeted suggestions are put forward to respond to the call of the national policy and promote the continuous implementation of the three-child policy.
文章引用:沈佳奇, 金鑫焱, 吴喆, 金莹莹, 严雨晨, 吕平. 三孩生育意愿及其影响因素调查研究——以杭州市居民为例[J]. 统计学与应用, 2022, 11(4): 785-791. https://doi.org/10.12677/SA.2022.114082

参考文献

[1] 王广州, 周玉娇, 张楠. 低生育陷阱: 中国当前的低生育风险及未来人口形势判断[J]. 青年探索, 2018(5): 15-27.
[2] 杨守建. 三孩政策背景下的青年低生育问题研究[J]. 中国青年研究, 2022(3): 4.
[3] 财联社. 中共中央政治局: 要深化国家人口中长期发展战略和区域人口发展规划研究促进人口长期均衡发展[EB/OL]. https://finance.ifeng.com/c/86h5oYTGpo8, 2021-05-31.
[4] 王敏, 李坤明. 农村婚嫁高价彩礼现状、治理逻辑与矫正路径[J]. 中国乡村发现, 2021(4): 124-129.
[5] 张冰子. 中共中央政治局: 完善生育休假与生育保险制度[N]. 人民日报, 2021-05-31(012).
[6] 洪秀敏. 发展普惠托育服务助力实施三孩生育政策[EB/OL]. http://www.xinhuanet.com/politics/2021-06/03/c_1127527490.htm, 2021-06-03.
[7] 郝文武. 以城乡教育有特色融合发展促进乡村教育振兴和农村教育现代化[J]. 教育科学, 2021, 37(3): 1-7.
[8] 徐冉. “三孩政策”下我国女性就业平等权的保护研究[J]. 黑龙江人力资源和社会保障, 2021(8): 53-55.
[9] 黄玉琴, 萧易忻. “低生育率陷阱”风险下如何实现生育率翻转?——东亚和欧美的经历及对中国的启示[J]. 福建论坛(人文社会科学版), 2017(5): 159-166.