基于回归模型的伊犁州直第一产业生产总值实证分析与预测

Empirical Analysis and Forecast on the GDP of Primary Industry in Yili State Based on the Theory of Linear Regression

摘要: 为促进伊犁州直第一产业的又好又快发展，本文基于线性回归的相关理论，将伊犁州直2009~2019年第一产业生产总值作为数据基础，利用统计软件进行分析并建立回归模型，对伊犁州直未来三年的第一产业生产总值进行预测。结果看出伊犁州直第一产业生产总值近年呈现增长趋势，但对第一产业方面的发展需求迫在眉睫，进而对其进一步发展提出相关意见和建议。

Abstract: In order to promote the sound and rapid development of the primary industry of Yili prefecture, based on the theory of linear regression; this paper uses the statistical software to analyze and establish the regression model, as the base data in the GDP of primary industry in Yili state from 2009 to 2019, to predict the future three years of the first industry in GDP. The results show that the GDP of the primary industry of Yili Prefecture has shown an increasing trend in recent years, but the demand for the development of the primary industry is imminent, and put forward relevant opinions and suggestions for its further development.