基于SIR模型的企业内远程办公行为扩散机制研究

Research on the Diffusion Mechanism of Telecommuting Behavior in Enterprise Based on SIR Model

摘要: 2020年初的公共卫生事件让企业以及普通民众的视线投向了远程办公，实际上远程办公的发展历史已有几十年之久，而此次公共卫生事件也间接促进了企业数字化转型的进程。然而，就调查显示，远程办公在企业内并未得到广泛的推广，因此有必要研究如何让远程办公行为在企业内更有效地扩散。在此背景下，本文借鉴传染病模型中的SIR模型，构建符合企业内部环境的远程办公行为扩散机制，模型将远程办公行为看作病毒扩散源，企业内的观望者类似于易感者(S)，支持者相当于感染者(I)，反对者则相当于免疫者(R)，研究三者的相互作用和转化对远程办公行为在企业内部扩散过程的影响。并对传染病模型的阈值条件与平衡点进行分析，得出最理想的扩散状态，并提出促进远程办公行为在企业内扩散的对策措施。

Abstract: The public health events in early 2020 drew the attention of enterprises and the general public to telecommuting. In fact, telecommuting has been developing for decades, and this public health event also indirectly promoted the process of enterprise digital transformation. However, surveys show that telecommuting is not widely promoted in the enterprise, so it is necessary to study how to make telecommuting behavior spread more effectively in the enterprise. In this background, this article refers to SIR model of infectious disease model, building a telecommuting in conformity with the enterprise internal environment behavior diffusion mechanism, the model will consider tele-commuting behavior as the spread of the virus source, the business enterprise inside the watchers similar to susceptible (S), supporters of infection (I), opponents of immune (R). The influence of the interaction and transformation of the three factors on the diffusion process of telecommuting be-havior in enterprises is studied. The optimal diffusion state is obtained by analyzing the threshold condition and equilibrium point of the infectious disease model, and the countermeasures to pro-mote the diffusion of telecommuting in enterprises are put forward.