基于空间计量模型的我国就业影响因素分析

The Influencing Factors of Employment Based on Spatial Econometric Model in China

摘要: 研究目标：我国各省市就业影响因素分析。研究方法：本文基于空间计量模型，对我国各省市就业影响因素进行了实证分析。研究发现：我国各省市就业存在显著的空间溢出效应和空间相依性，而且邻近省市的就业对本省具有正向影响。在我国各省市就业的影响因素中，地区生产总值、教育经费、基本养老保险基金支出、年末常住人口均对我国就业具有显著影响，其中，教育经费对我国各省市就业的影响最大，其他变量对就业的影响相对较小。研究创新：本文充分考虑我国就业的空间效应，对我国各省市就业影响因素分别从时间和个体两个方面进行了系数检验。研究价值：为我国各省市就业提供了一个新的政策着力点。

Abstract: Research Objectives: Analysis of the influencing factors of employment in China’s provinces and municipalities. Research Methods: Based on the spatial econometric model, this paper makes an empirical analysis on the influencing factors of employment in China’s provinces and cities. Re-search Findings: The results show that there are significant spatial spillover effects and spatial de-pendence in the employment of provinces and cities in China, and the employment of neighboring provinces and cities has a positive impact on the province. Among the influencing factors of em-ployment in China’s provinces and cities, GRP, education expenditure, basic pension fund expendi-ture and permanent population at the end of the year all have significant effects on employment. Among them, education expenditure has the greatest impact on employment in China’s provinces and cities, while other variables have a relatively small impact on employment. Research Innova-tions: This paper takes full account of the spatial effect of employment in China, and tests the influ-encing factors of employment in different provinces and cities from two aspects: time and individual. Research Value: It provides a new policy focus for employment of provinces and cities in China.