基于回归分析的西部生育率影响因素分析

Based on Analysis of Regression Analysis in the West of Fertility Factors

摘要: 本文将通过多元线性回归模型对相关数据进行分析，利用R软件，将收集到的15个指标与生育率建立模型，通过相关模型诊断和AIC模型优化找出对西部生育率影响最大的几个因素。由分析结果可知，影响西部生育率的因素包括：结婚人数、中专及大学、农村人均可支配收入、城镇人均可支配收入、男性适婚人数、女性适婚人数、受教育程度，并提出了相对应的建议。

Abstract: This paper will analyze the relevant data by multiple linear regression model, and use R software to model the 15 indicators collected with the fertility rate, and find out the factors that have the greatest influence on the fertility rate in the west by correlation model diagnosis and AIC model optimization. From the analysis results, it can be seen that the factors affecting the fertility rate in the west include: the number of marriages, secondary school and university, rural per capita disposable income, urban per capita disposable income, the number of marriageable men, the number of marriageable women, and the education level, and the corresponding suggestions are made.