基于演化博弈的农机企业主导农业生产托管模式的影响因素分析

Influence Factor Analysis of Agricultural Production Trusteeship Mode Dominated by Agricultural Machinery Enterprises Based on Evolutionary Game

摘要: 农业生产托管可一定程度解决种地难的问题从而保障粮食安全，但在发展过程中产生诸多问题。我国农机市场保有量趋于饱和，产品同质化现象突出，农机企业需要依托自身优势实现价值增值。从博弈论的视角，构建农机企业、新型农业经营组织、农户的博弈模型，通过分析得出影响博弈均衡的因素为：新型农业经营组织向农户提供托管服务获得直接收益、间接收益和选择合作策略产生的成本；农户购买托管服务的效益和成本；新型农业经营组织和农户分别选择不合作、不购买策略产生的潜在损失。

Abstract: Agricultural production trusteeship can solve the difficulty of farming land to a certain extent so as to ensure food security, but there are many problems in the process of development. The total quantity of agricultural machinery market in our country tends to be saturated, and the product homogenization phenomenon is prominent. Agricultural machinery enterprises need to realize value increment based on their own advantages. From the perspective of game theory, the game model of agricultural machinery enterprises, new agricultural management organizations and farmers is constructed. Through analysis, it is concluded that the factors affecting the game balance are as follows: new agricultural management organizations provide trusteeship services to farmers to obtain direct benefits, indirect benefits and the cost of choosing cooperation strategies; the benefits and costs of farmers’ purchase of trusteeship services; potential losses of new agricultural management organizations and farmers choosing no cooperation and no purchase strategy respectively.