云南面向东盟发展出口导向型农业的产业比较优势及问题研究

Research on the Comparative Advantages and Problems of Industries in Developing Export-Oriented Agriculture in Yunnan towards ASEAN

摘要: 通过引入区位熵模型，以云南与东盟HS两位编码对应的24章农产品为分析对象，选用出口额作为模型代入数据，分别从区域、国别和综合层面对云南面向东盟发展出口导向型农业的产业比较优势及问题进行实证研究。研究表明：云南面向东盟出口的苗木花卉、水果、饮料、酒及醋、烟草制品、蔬菜、咖啡初级产品等农产品在全国层面具有较强的出口比较优势，缅甸是云南目前已形成具有出口比较优势农产品章目最多的国家，但云南面向东盟的农产品出口过度依赖于少数产品、少数市场及初级农产品等问题仍然不容忽视。最后，本论文聚焦农产品出口的优势领域和问题导向，基于“产品–产业”的升维逻辑，从方向、生产、加工、贸易和服务四个层面，提出云南面向东盟发展出口导向型农业的对策建议。

Abstract: Through the introduction of the Location Entropy model, this study analyzed 24 chapters of agri-cultural products which correspond to Yunnan and the ASEAN HS codes, and export-oriented value is selected as the model to input data and empirically researched the comparative advantages and problems of Yunnan’s export-oriented agriculture from regional, national and comprehensive per-spective towards the ASEAN market. Studies shows that Yunnan has strong comparative ad-vantages in exporting agricultural products such as ornamental plants, flowers, fruits, beverages, alcohol and vinegar, tobacco products, vegetables and coffee primaries to ASEAN at national per-spective. Myanmar is the country where Yunnan has formed the most chapters of agricultural prod-ucts codes with export comparative advantages. Finally, this thesis focuses on the strengths and problems of agricultural exports, and proposes countermeasures for the development of ex-port-oriented agriculture for ASEAN from four levels: “direction”, “production”, “processing”, “trade and services”, based on the ascending logic of “product-industry”.