贸易便利化对广西向东盟出口农产品的影响研究

Study on the Impact of Trade Facilitation on Guangxi’s Export of Agricultural Products to ASEAN

摘要: 作为中国–东盟自贸区的首要试验地区，研究贸易便利化对于广西与东盟的外贸发展影响是有价值的。本文打算以广西农产品出口为例，来探究贸易便利化对广西农产品出口东盟的影响，并期望能够提出有针对性地改善措施，促进双方的经贸合作。文章主要借鉴前人的经验，以广西和东盟各国贸易便利化发展情况为基础，从基础设施质量、海关环境、政府与金融环境和电子商务环境四维度构建起本文的贸易便利化指标体系，测度2012~2017年广西与东盟各国的贸易便利化水平，并利用引力模型实证分析贸易便利化对广西向东盟出口农产品可能产生的影响。结果表明：广西和东盟地区大多数的国家贸易便利化发展都处在中低位置，但仍是存在一定的发展潜力；东盟与广西的贸易便利化水平都对广西的农产品出口有显著的正向效应，其中东盟贸易便利化水平是最为显著的。

Abstract: As the first experimental area of China-ASEAN free trade area, it is valuable to study the influence of trade facilitation on the development of foreign trade between Guangxi and ASEAN. This paper intends to take Guangxi agricultural product export as an example to explore the impact of trade facilitation on Guangxi agricultural product export to ASEAN, and hopes to put forward targeted improvement measures to promote economic and trade cooperation between the two sides. Based on the development of trade facilitation in Guangxi and ASEAN countries, this paper mainly draws on the experience of predecessors, constructs a trade facilitation index system from four dimen-sions: infrastructure quality, customs environment, government and financial environment and e-commerce environment, and measures the level of trade facilitation between Guangxi and ASEAN countries from 2012 to 2017. The effect of trade facilitation on Guangxi’s export of agricultural products to ASEAN is analyzed by using a gravity model. The results show that the development of trade facilitation in Guangxi and most countries in ASEAN region is in the middle and low position, but there is still a certain development potential; The trade facilitation level of ASEAN and Guangxi has a significant positive effect on Guangxi’s agricultural exports, among which ASEAN’s trade facilitation level is the most significant.