数字普惠金融对农业碳排放的影响研究

The Impact of Digital Inclusive Finance on Agricultural Carbon Emissions

摘要: 基于中国2011~2020年31个省份的面板数据，本文实证分析了数字普惠金融对农业碳排放的影响，并进一步研究农业结构和农业经营规模的中介效应以及区域异质性。研究结果表明：1) 数字普惠金融能显著降低农业碳排放。2) 数字普惠金融能通过推动农业结构和农业经营规模，进而降低农业碳排放。3) 数字普惠金融对农业碳排放的抑制作用存在区域异质性，程度大小呈现出“西部 > 东部 > 中部”的趋势。农业经营规模的中介效应在各地区均显著存在，但农业结构的中介效应只在西部地区显著。

Abstract: Based on the panel data of 31 provinces in China from 2011 to 2020, this paper empirically analyzes the impact of digital inclusive finance on agricultural carbon emissions, and further investigates the mediating effects of agricultural structure and scale of agricultural operations as well as regional heterogeneity. The results of the study show that: 1) digital inclusive finance can significantly reduce agricultural carbon emissions. 2) Digital inclusive finance can reduce agricultural carbon emissions by promoting agricultural structure and agricultural business scale. 3) There is regional heterogeneity in the inhibiting effect of digital financial inclusion on agricultural carbon emissions, with the degree of magnitude showing a trend of “West > East > Central”. The mediating effect of agricultural business scale is significant in all regions, but the mediating effect of agricultural structure is only significant in the western region.