非认知能力对家庭旅游消费的影响——基于CFPS的实证研究

The Impact of Non-Cognitive Skills on Household Tourism Consumption —An Empirical Study Based on CFPS

摘要: 开展家庭旅游消费影响因素的实证研究，有利于从微观家庭层面深入理解我国旅游市场，缓解旅游消费不平等问题，为切实提高旅游业对国民经济的拉动作用、制定更为精准的旅游发展相关政策提供理论支持。本文基于新人力资本理论，利用中国家庭追踪调查2018年的数据，运用Heckman模型和工具变量法等计量方法，实证探讨了家庭财务决策者的非认知能力与家庭旅游消费之间的关系以及二者的作用机制。结果表明：第一，家庭财务决策人的非认知能力显著正向影响家庭旅游意愿和家庭旅游支出；第二，家庭财务决策人的非认知能力对家庭旅游消费的影响在中高收入、中低受教育程度家庭财务决策人和女性家庭财务决策人的家庭中影响更强；第三，家庭财务决策人的非认知能力对家庭旅游消费的影响是通过促进家庭社会资本累积实现的。上述结论具有一定稳健性，且在克服内生性偏误后仍然成立。

Abstract: Based on the new human capital theory, this study examines the correlation between the non-cognitive skills of household financial decision-makers and household tourism consumption, as well as their roles, through analysis of the China family panel studies data in 2018, utilizing econometric methods like the Heckman model and the instrumental variable method. The study’s findings indicate that the non-cognitive skills of household financial decision-makers have a significant and positive impact on household travel intentions and expenditures. Furthermore, this impact is more pronounced in households where the financial decision-maker has a middle to high income status, middle to low level of education, or is female. In addition, the impact on household travel expenditures is realized through the promotion of household social capital. These findings are robust and remain valid after effective correction of endogeneity bias.