中国与东盟服装出口贸易竞争力比较分析

Comparative Analysis of the Competitiveness of Garment Export Trade between China and ASEAN

摘要: 伴随着全球化和区域一体化发展的大力加强，中国和东盟的出口贸易也得到了迅速发展。在此背景下，本文将对中国与东盟服装贸易的发展现状、出口结构以及服装出口的国际竞争力进行科学研究和比较分析，并对影响服装出口竞争力的因素进行实证分析。本文利用显示性比较优势发现指数(RCA)、贸易竞争优势指数(TC)、国际市场占有率指数(MS)对2010年到2020年的中国与东盟的服装贸易行业的规模和整体竞争力进行了比较和分析。在过去的近十年间，中国的行业规模和竞争优势都是高于东盟，但是变化趋势却是逐年下降，而东盟的各项国际竞争力指数均低于中国，但是其发展趋势却是逐年上升，有赶超中国的趋势。同时为了研究影响服装出口贸易竞争力的因素，本文利用波特的钻石模型，从六个方面筛选影响服装贸易竞争力的因素，并利用回归向量模型(Vector Autoregression)分析，最后根据理论分析和实证分析得出结论并提出建议。

Abstract: With the strengthening of globalization and regional integration, the export trade between China and ASEAN has also developed rapidly. In this context, this paper will conduct scientific research and comparative analysis on the development status, export structure and the international competitiveness of the garment trade between China and ASEAN, and make empirical analysis on the factors affecting the competitiveness of the garment export. The scale and overall competitiveness of the garment trade industry between China and ASEAN from 2010 to 2020 are compared and analyzed by using the Discovery Index (RCA), the Trade Competitive Advantage Index (TC) and the International Market Share Index (MS). In the past ten years, China’s industry scale and competitive advantage are higher than that of ASEAN, but the change trend is declining year by year, while the international competitiveness index of ASEAN is all lower than that of China, but its development trend is increasing year by year, with a trend of catching up with China. At the same time, in order to study the factors affecting the competitiveness of garment export trade, this paper uses the diamond model of Porter to select the factors affecting the competitiveness of garment trade from six aspects, and uses the regression vector model (Vector Autoregression) analysis, and finally draws the conclusion and suggestions based on the theoretical analysis and empirical analysis.