基于机器学习的院内心脏骤停预警模型研究进展
Research Progress of In-Hospital Cardiac Ar-rest Early Warning Model Based on Machine Learning
DOI: 10.12677/ACM.2024.141123, PDF,    科研立项经费支持
作者: 夏来百提姑·赛买提, 杨建中*:新疆医科大学第一附属医院急救?创伤中心,新疆 乌鲁木齐
关键词: 心脏骤停预警模型机器学习Cardiac Arrest Early Warning Models Machine Learning
摘要: 早期识别心脏骤停(CA)的预警症状和指标对患者的生存起到重要作用,由异常预测因子构成的临床预测模型作为风险的量化工具,为早期识别心脏骤停提供证据,近年来得到普遍应用。基于机器学习的心脏骤停预警模型具有灵活的预测算法,比传统的早期预警评分预测方法更准确、预测效能更高。国内外学者通过各种方法进一步提高了其预测能力,并实现了模型实时预测心脏骤停的功能。本综述复习相关心脏骤停预警模型的发展历程、模型方法和预测性能与总结模型发展中的局限性,探讨基于机器学习的心脏骤停预警模型对预防心脏骤停和心脏骤停后提供决策的研究价值以及对具有高预测能力的预警模型进行展望。
Abstract: Early identification of early warning symptoms and indicators of cardiac arrest (CA) plays an im-portant role in the survival of patients, and the clinical prediction model composed of abnormal predictors is used as a risk quantitative tool to provide evidence for early identification of cardiac arrest, and has been widely used in recent years. The early warning model of cardiac arrest based on machine learning has a flexible prediction algorithm, which is more accurate and more efficient than the traditional early warning score prediction method. Scholars at home and abroad have fur-ther improved their prediction ability through various methods, and realized the function of the model to predict cardiac arrest in real time. This review reviews the development history, model methods and prediction performance of relevant cardiac arrest early warning models, summarizes the limitations of model development, discusses the research value of cardiac arrest early warning models based on machine learning in preventing cardiac arrest and providing decision-making af-ter cardiac arrest, and prospects early warning models with high predictive ability.
文章引用:夏来百提姑·赛买提, 杨建中. 基于机器学习的院内心脏骤停预警模型研究进展[J]. 临床医学进展, 2024, 14(1): 871-876. https://doi.org/10.12677/ACM.2024.141123

参考文献

[1] Andersen, L.W., Holmberg, M.J., Berg, K.M., et al. (2019) In-Hospital Cardiac Arrest: A Review. JAMA: The Journal of the American Medical Association, 321, 1200-1210. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef] [PubMed]
[2] Alamgir, A., Mousa, O. and Shah, Z. (2021) Artificial Intelligence in Predicting Cardiac Arrest: A Scoping Review. JMIR Medical Informatics, 9, e30798. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef
[3] Fernando, S.M., Tran, A., Cheng, W., et al. (2019) Pre-Arrest and Intra-Arrest Prognostic Factors Associated with Survival after In-Hospital Cardiac Arrest: Sys-tematic Review and Meta-Analysis. BMJ, 367, l6373. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef] [PubMed]
[4] 吕智康, 程兆云, 孙俊杰, 等. 心搏骤停早期预警评分系统的研究现状和展望[J]. 中华危重病急救医学, 2022, 34(4): 440-443.
[5] Augutis, W., Flenady, T., Le Lagadec, D., et al. (2023) How Do Nurses Use Early Warning System Vital Signs Observation Charts in Rural, Remote and Regional Health Care Facilities: A Scoping Review. Australian Journal of Rural Health, 31, 385-394. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef] [PubMed]
[6] Li, Y.J., Ye, W.Y., Yang, K., et al. (2021) Prediction of Cardiac Arrest in Critically Ill Patients Based on Bedside Vital Signs Monitoring. Computer Methods and Programs in Biomedicine, 214, Article ID: 106568. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef] [PubMed]
[7] Zheng, K., Bai, Y., Zhai, Q.R., et al. (2022) Correlation between the Warning Symptoms and Prognosis of Cardiac Arrest. World Journal of Clinical Cases, 10, 7738-7748. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef] [PubMed]
[8] Nishijima, I., Oyadomari, S., Maedomari, S., et al. (2016) Use of a Modified Early Warning Score System to Reduce the Rate of In-Hospital Cardiac Arrest. Intensive Care, 4, Article No. 12. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef] [PubMed]
[9] Carrick, R.T., Park, J.G., Mcginnes, H.L., et al. (2020) Clini-cal Predictive Models of Sudden Cardiac Arrest: A Survey of the Current Science and Analysis of Model Performances. Journal of the American Heart Association, 9, e017625. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef
[10] Chae, M., Han, S., Gil, H., Cho, N. and Lee, H. (2021) Prediction of In-Hospital Cardiac Arrest Using Shallow and Deep Learning. Diagnostics, 11, Article No. 1255. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef] [PubMed]
[11] Morgan, R., Williams, F. and Wright, M. (1997) An Early Warning Score for the Early Detection of Patients with Impending Illness. Clinical Intensive Care, 8, 100.
[12] Bedoya, A.D., Clement, M.E., Phelan, M., et al. (2019) Minimal Impact of Implemented Early Warning Score and Best Practice Alert for Patient Deterioration. Critical Care Medicine, 47, 49-55. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef
[13] Subbe, C.P., et al. (2001) Validation of a Modified Early Warning Score in Medical Admissions. QJM: An International Journal of Medicine, 94, 521-526. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef] [PubMed]
[14] William, B., Alberti, G., Ball, C., et al. (2012) National Early Warm-ing Score (NEWS): Standardising the Assessment of Acute-Illness Severity in the NHs. Royal College of Physicians, London.
[15] Meylan, S. (2022) National Early Warning Score (NEWS) Outperforms Quick Sepsis-Related Organ Failure (qSOFA) Score for Early Detection of Sepsis in the Emergency Department. Antibiotics, 11, Article No. 1518. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef] [PubMed]
[16] Churpek, M.M., Snyder, A., Han, X., et al. (2017) Quick Sep-sis-Related Organ Failure Assessment, Systemic Inflammatory Response Syndrome, and Early Warning Scores for De-tecting Clinical Deterioration in Infected Patients outside the Intensive Care Unit. American Journal of Respiratory & Critical Care Medicine, 195, 906. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef
[17] Brink, A., Alsma, J., Verdonschot, R., et al. (2019) Predicting Mortality in Patients with Suspected Sepsis at the Emergency Department; A Retrospective Cohort Study Comparing qSOFA, SIRS and National Early Warning Score. PLOS ONE, 14, e0211133. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef] [PubMed]
[18] Kostakis, I., Smith, G.B., Prytherch, D., et al. (2021) The Per-formance of the National Early Warning Score and National Early Warning Score 2 in Hospitalised Patients Infected by the Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2). Resuscitation, 159, 150-157. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef] [PubMed]
[19] Hodgson, L.E., Bax, S., Montefort, M., et al. (2013) S67 COPD—In the NEWS! Thorax, 68, A36-A37. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef
[20] Lobo, R., Lynch, K. and Casserly, L.F. (2015) Cross-Sectional Audit on the Relevance of Elevated National Early Warning Score in Medical Patients at a Model 2 Hos-pital in Ireland. Irish Journal of Medical Science (1971-), 184, 893-898. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef] [PubMed]
[21] Faxén, J., Hall, M., Gale, C.P., et al. (2017) A User-Friendly Risk-Score for Predicting In-Hospital Cardiac Arrest among Patients Admitted with Suspected Non ST-Elevation Acute Coronary Syndrome—The SAFER-Score. Resuscitation, 121, 41-48. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef] [PubMed]
[22] Chen, S.H., Cheng, Y.Y. and Lin, C.H. (2021) An Early Predictive Scoring Model for In-Hospital Cardiac Arrest of Emergent Hemodialysis Patients. Journal of Clinical Medi-cine, 10, Article No. 3241. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef] [PubMed]
[23] Pimentel, M.A., Redfern, O.C., Malycha, J., et al. (2021) Detecting De-teriorating Patients in the Hospital: Development and Validation of a Novel Scoring System. American Journal of Res-piratory and Critical Care Medicine, 204, 44-52. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef
[24] 程燕, 王磊, 赵晓永. 根因分析研究综述[J]. 计算机应用研究, 2023, 40(4): 961-966.
[25] Zhang, A., Xing, L., Zou, J., et al. (2022) Shifting Machine Learning for Healthcare from Development to Deployment and from Models to Data. Nature Biomedical Engineering, 6, 1330-1345. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef] [PubMed]
[26] Kang, M.A., Churpek, M.M., et al. (2016) Real-Time Risk Prediction on the Wards: A Feasibility Study. Critical Care Medicine, 44, 1468-1473. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef
[27] Tang, Q.H., Cen, X.X. and Pan, C.Q. (2022) Explainable and Efficient Deep Early Warning System for Cardiac Arrest Prediction from Electronic Health Records. Mathematical Biosciences and Engineering, 19, 9825-9841. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef] [PubMed]
[28] 吴秋硕, 陆宗庆, 刘瑜, 等. 机器学习应用于心脏骤停早期预测模型的系统评价[J]. 中国循证医学杂志, 2021, 21(8): 942-952.
[29] Kwon, J.-M., Youngnam, L., Yeha, L., et al. (2018) An Algorithm Based on Deep Learning for Predicting In-Hospital Cardiac Arrest. Journal of the American Heart Association, 7, e008678. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef
[30] Lee, Y.J., Cho, K.J., Kwon, O., et al. (2021) A Multicentre Validation Study of the Deep Learning-Based Early Warning Score for Predicting In-Hospital Car-diac Arrest in Patients Admitted to General Wards. Resuscitation, 163, 78-85. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef] [PubMed]
[31] Redfern, O.C., et al. (2018) Predicting In-Hospital Mortal-ity and Unanticipated Admissions to the Intensive Care Unit Using Routinely Collected Blood Tests and Vital Signs: Development and Validation of a Multivariable Model. Resuscitation, 133, 75-81. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef] [PubMed]
[32] Chae, M., Gil, H.-W., Cho, N.-J. and Lee, H. (2022) Ma-chine Learning-Based Cardiac Arrest Prediction for Early Warning System. Mathematics, 10, Article No. 2049. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef
[33] Pirracchio, R., Petersen, M.L., Carone, M., et al. (2015) Mortality Pre-diction in Intensive Care Units with the Super ICU Learner Algorithm (SICULA): A Population-Based Study. The Lan-cet Respiratory Medicine, 3, 42-52. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef
[34] Li, L., Ding, L., Zhang, Z., et al. (2023) Development and Validation of Machine Learning-Based Models to Predict In-Hospital Mortality in Life-Threatening Ventricular Arrhyth-mias: Retrospective Cohort Study. Journal of Medical Internet Research, 25, e47664. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef] [PubMed]
[35] Churpek, M.M., Yuen, T.C., Winslow, C., et al. (2016) Multicenter Compari-son of Machine Learning Methods and Conventional Regression for Predicting Clinical Deterioration on the Wards. Critical Care Medicine, 44, 368-374. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef
[36] 文玲子, 王俊峰, 谷鸿秋. 临床预测模型: 新预测因子的预测增量值[J]. 中国循证心血管医学杂志, 2020, 12(6): 655-659. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef