基于改进前景理论的4PL供应商选择决策方法

4PL Supplier Selection Decision Method Based on Improved Prospect Theory

摘要: 由于当代物流经济的高速发展以及第三方物流的弊端日益显著，国内外的各大小企业开始广泛关注第四方物流(4PL)的发展状况。随着企业对4PL供应商的重视，供应商的选择与决策逐渐成为企业战略管理中的一个关键环节。本文旨在基于前景理论，结合TOPSIS方法对4PL供应商选择决策方法进行改进，以为企业提供更为严谨的理论指导。为了验证改进方法的可行性和有效性，本文还将进行实例分析，并运用VIKOR和PROMETHEE等其他决策方法进行反复验证。

Abstract: Due to the rapid development of contemporary logistics economy and the increasingly significant disadvantages of third-party logistics, various enterprises at home and abroad begin to pay extensive attention to the development of fourth-party logistics (4PL). As enterprises attach great importance to 4PL suppliers, the selection and decision-making of suppliers has gradually become a key link in enterprise strategic management. This paper aims to improve the decision method of selecting 4PL suppliers based on prospect theory and TOPSIS method, so as to provide more rigorous theoretical guidance for enterprises. In order to verify the feasibility and effectiveness of the improved method, this paper will also conduct example analysis and conduct repeated verification using other decision methods such as VIKOR and PROMETHEE.