自我卷入对社会比较情境下情绪预测偏差的影响

The Impact of Self-Involvement on Emotional Prediction Bias in Social Comparison Contexts

摘要: 人们在对事情进行决策时，常常会不自觉地根据情绪预测结果。然而，对未来情绪事件的情绪预测与即时的情绪体验总是存在偏差，人们常常过高或过低地估计自己情绪反应的时间和强度，即影响偏差。本研究采用2 × 2混合实验设计，创设实验情景，诱发被试积极或消极的情绪体验，旨在考察大学生情绪预测偏差现象及探讨自我卷入度对中国大学生情绪预测偏差的影响，得到结果如下：(1) 情绪预测偏差现象普遍存在于大学生群体当中。在消极反馈条件下，负性情绪预测存在显著的预测偏差。(2) 高自我卷入度条件下的情绪预测显著低于低自我卷入度下的情绪预测，且高自我卷入度下的情绪预测偏差显著小于低自我卷入度下的情绪预测偏差。

Abstract: When people make decisions about things, they often unconsciously predict the results based on emotions. However, there is always a bias between predicting future emotional events and experiencing immediate emotions, and people often overestimate the time and intensity of their emotional reactions, which is known as influence bias. In this study, a 2 × 2 mixed experimental design was used to create an experimental scenario that induced positive or negative emotional experiences in the subjects. The aim was to investigate the phenomenon of emotional prediction bias and explore the impact of self-involvement on emotional prediction bias among Chinese college students. The results were as follows: (1) The phenomenon of emotional prediction bias is widely present among college students. Under negative feedback conditions, there is a significant prediction bias in predicting negative emotions. (2) The emotional prediction under high self-involvement is significantly lower than that under low self-involvement, and the emotional prediction bias under high self-involvement is significantly smaller than that under low self-involvement.