中国入境旅游经济的空间溢出效应研究

Study on Spatial Spillover Effect of Chinese Inbound Tourism Economy

摘要: 入境旅游经济是我国实现旅游业高质量发展的重要路径之一。目前，我国的入境旅游市场规模，相较于国际水平仍处于较为落后的状态。本文基于中国2000~2019年31个省市的面板数据，采用空间计量模型，实证分析入境旅游经济各个影响因素的空间溢出效应。研究发现，经济发展水平、产业结构水平、贸易开放度、生态气候条件和旅游资源禀赋均对入境旅游经济产生显著的正向影响；其中，产业结构水平、贸易开放度以及旅游资源禀赋对相邻省份的正向外部效应显著。

Abstract: Inbound tourism economy is one of the important paths for China to achieve high-quality tourism development. At present, Chinese inbound tourism market scale, compared with the international level, is still in a relatively backward state. Based on the panel data of 31 provinces in China from 2000 to 2019, this paper adopts a spatial econometric model to empirically analyze the spatial spillover effects of various influencing factors affecting the inbound tourism economy. The findings indicate that the level of economic development, the advancement of industrial structure, trade openness, ecological and climatic conditions, as well as the abundance of tourism resources, all contribute significantly to the growth of inbound tourism economy. Notably, the advancement of industrial structure, trade openness, and the abundance of tourism resources exert considerable positive spillover effects on neighboring provinces.