“一带一路”背景下中泰初级产品贸易互补性与竞争性研究

Research on the Complementarity and Competitiveness of China-Thailand Primary Product Trade under the Background of the “Belt and Road Initiative”

摘要: 随着“一带一路”建设的深入，中国与东南亚地区的设施联通和政策沟通程度大幅提高，为中泰两国贸易注入了新的活力。两国在初级产品贸易方面也显得越发频繁。本研究采用产业内贸易指数、贸易互补性指数、贸易竞争力指数和显示性比较优势指数等方法，通过对2012~2022年间中泰两国初级产品贸易数据的分析，深入探究双方在SITC0至SITC4类别初级产品上的贸易特征。研究结果显示，中泰两国在部分初级产品上具有较强的互补性，如SITC2类别，同时在SITC0和SITC3类别上存在显著的竞争优势。基于分析结果，本文提出了加强政策协调与合作、优化贸易结构、深化基础设施建设合作和增强信息共享与交流等四项建议，以期对泰国与中国进一步发展初级产品贸易提供参考。

Abstract: With the deepening of the “Belt and Road Initiative”, the degree of infrastructure connectivity and policy communication between China and Southeast Asia has been greatly improved, injecting new vitality into the trade between China and Thailand. The two countries also appear to be trading more frequently in primary commodities. This study uses the methods of intra-industry trade index, trade complementarity index, trade competitiveness index and indicative comparative advantage index to analyze the trade data of primary products between China and Thailand from 2012 to 2022, and deeply explores the trade characteristics of primary products in the categories of SITC0 to SITC4 between the two sides. The results show that China and Thailand have strong complementarity in some primary products, such as the SITC2 category, and have significant competitive advantages in the SITC0 and SITC3 categories. Based on the analysis results, this paper puts forward four suggestions, including strengthening policy coordination and cooperation, optimizing trade structure, deepening cooperation in infrastructure construction, and enhancing information sharing and exchange, in order to provide reference for Thailand to further develop primary product trade in China.