中国出口新西兰农产品贸易潜力研究——以RCEP为背景

Research on the Potential of China’s Export of New Zealand Agricultural Products Trade—Against the Background of RCEP

摘要: 在经济全球化的当代，我国广阔的国土面积和新西兰独特的农业优势，使两国的农业产业都发展在世界前列，其农产品贸易竞争和合作十分密切，双边经济的依赖度不断加深。RCEP的成功签订，也将促使两国农产品贸易达到新境界。本文从RCEP的背景出发，以其十五个成员国为研究对象，使用引力模型做回归分析和贸易潜力预测，探寻影响中国出口新西兰农产品贸易的潜力。经研究发现：中国和新西兰成功签署并实施RCEP进一步促进了两国农产品贸易的发展，两国的农产品贸易仍需发挥和再造。我国应积极顺应RCEP的相关政策，将贸易潜力充分释放，并寻求再造潜力和发展贸易的其他方式方法，以进一步促进两国农产品贸易的发展。

Abstract: In the contemporary era of economic globalization, China’s vast land area and New Zealand’s unique agricultural advantages have led to the development of agricultural industries in both countries at the forefront of the world. The competition and cooperation in agricultural trade are very close, and the dependence of the bilateral economy continues to deepen. The successful signing of RCEP will also promote a new level of agricultural trade between the two countries. Starting from the background of RCEP, this article takes its fifteen member countries as research objects, uses gravity models for regression analysis and trade potential prediction, and explores the potential impact of China’s export of agricultural products to New Zealand. After research, it was found that the successful signing and implementation of RCEP between China and New Zealand has further promoted the development of agricultural trade between the two countries. However, the agricultural trade between the two countries still needs to be leveraged and reformed. China should actively comply with the relevant policies of RCEP, fully unleash its trade potential, and seek other ways and methods to rebuild its potential and develop trade, in order to further promote the development of agricultural trade between the two countries.