数字贸易对RCEP国家产业结构升级的影响研究

Study on the Impact of Digital Trade on Industrial Structure Upgrading in RCEP Countries

摘要: 本文论述了数字贸易发展对产业结构升级的影响机制，在此基础上结合RCEP国家2013~2023年的面板数据，实证验证了数字贸易的发展给RCEP国家产业结构升级带来的影响。研究表明：数字贸易发展有利于促进RCEP国家的产业结构发展升级，但存在国家异质性现象。RCEP团体中，国家间经济发展水平差距大，数字贸易的发展，对发达国家产业高级化的促进作用不明显，原因是发达国家的产业已在高级化阶段，第三产业有更高层次的需求；而在产业合理化方面，数字贸易对发达国家和发展中国家的产业合理化发展有显著作用，则对最不发达国家的作用不明显，因为就最不发达国家的数字贸易发展水平而已，还难以改变其产业结构不协调的局面。

Abstract: This paper discusses the impact mechanism of digital trade development on industrial structure upgrading, on the basis of which, combined with the panel data of RCEP countries in 2013-2023, it empirically verifies the impact of the development of digital trade on the industrial structure upgrading of RCEP countries. The study shows that the development of digital trade is conducive to promoting the development and upgrading of the industrial structure of RCEP countries, but there is a phenomenon of national heterogeneity. In the RCEP group, there is a large gap in the level of economic development between the countries, and the development of digital trade does not have a significant effect on the promotion of industrial advancedization of developed countries because the industries of the developed countries are already in the advanced stage, and the tertiary industry has a higher level of demand; whereas, in terms of the rationalization of the industry In terms of industrial rationalization, while digital trade has a significant effect on the rationalization of industries in developed and developing countries, its effect on LDCs is not obvious, because the level of development of digital trade in LDCs has made it difficult to change the situation of the incoherence of their industrial structure.