中国OFDI对东盟国家绿色经济发展的影响研究——基于“双碳目标”视角

Research on the Impact of China’s OFDI on the Development of Green Economy in ASEAN Countries—Based on the Perspective of “Double Carbon Target”

摘要: “双碳”目标既是中国应对全球气候危机，实现经济高质量发展的重要举措，也是中国践行人类命运共同体理念，建立低碳国际合作体系的坚定步伐。东盟国家作为中国“一带一路”倡议的重要地区，中国如何通过OFDI对其绿色经济发展产生影响，实现绿色转型，成为国际合作中的关键议题。本文通过中国OFDI对东盟绿色经济发展的理论分析，选取绿色GDP等变量进行实证分析和实证检验，得出以下结论：中国OFDI对于东盟国家绿色GDP增长具有显著的正向促进作用，对能源出口型国家影响程度更强，东盟国家的金融发展在中国OFDI对东盟国家绿色经济促进效应中具有一定的抑制作用，中国OFDI在一定程度中有助于东盟国家的技术创新。

Abstract: The “dual-carbon” goal is not only an important measure for China to cope with the global climate crisis and achieve high-quality economic development, but also a firm step for China to practice the concept of a community of shared future for mankind and establish a low-carbon international cooperation system. As an important area of China’s “Belt and Road” initiative, how China can influence its green economic development through OFDI and achieve green transformation has become a key issue in international cooperation. Through the theoretical analysis of China’s OFDI on the development of ASEAN’s green economy, this paper selects variables such as green GDP for empirical analysis and empirical test, and draws the following conclusions: China’s OFDI has a significant positive effect on the growth of green GDP in ASEAN countries, and has a stronger impact on energy-exporting countries. The financial development of ASEAN countries has a certain inhibitory effect on the promotion effect of China’s OFDI on the green economy of ASEAN countries. China’s OFDI contributes to the technological innovation of ASEAN countries to a certain extent.