RCEP框架下中国柑橘出口竞争力分析

Analysis of China’s Competitiveness in Citrus Export under the RCEP Framework

摘要: 随着《区域全面经济伙伴关系协定》(RCEP)的生效，中国与RCEP成员国的经贸关系将迎来更广阔的发展空间。中国作为全球最大的柑橘生产国，如何在RCEP框架下提升柑橘出口竞争力成为重要课题。本文构建包含贸易竞争指数(TC指数)、国际市场占有率指数(MS指数)与显性比较优势指数(RCA指数)的综合评价体系，结合2018~2023年UN Comtrade及中国海关细分数据展开研究。结果显示，中国柑橘生产产量优势显著且呈增长态势，但出口存在波动大、市场集中、加工产品出口结构单一等问题。竞争力指数分析表明，中国柑橘具备一定国际竞争优势但与部分国家相比仍有差距，国际市场竞争加剧。最后本文提出若干建议，以提升中国柑橘在RCEP框架下的出口竞争力，促进产业可持续发展。

Abstract: With the entry into force of the “Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership” (RCEP), China’s economic and trade relations with RCEP member states will embrace broader development prospects. As the world’s largest producer of citrus fruits, China faces the important task of enhancing the export competitiveness of its citrus fruits under the RCEP framework. This paper constructs a comprehensive evaluation system including the Trade Competitiveness Index (TC Index), Market Share Index (MS Index), and Revealed Comparative Advantage Index (RCA Index), and conducts research based on the detailed data from UN Comtrade and China Customs from 2018 to 2023. The results show that China has a significant and growing production advantage in citrus fruits, but its exports are characterized by large fluctuations, market concentration, and a single structure of processed product exports. The competitiveness index analysis indicates that China’s citrus fruits have certain international competitive advantages but still lag behind some countries, with intensified international market competition. Finally, this paper puts forward several suggestions to enhance the export competitiveness of China’s citrus fruits under the RCEP framework and promote the sustainable development of the industry.