回收商回收模式转型演化分析

Analysis of the Evolutionary Transformation of Recyclers’ Recycling Models

摘要: 本文研究了新能源汽车废旧动力电池回收过程中，回收商在正规与非正规回收模式之间的策略选择及其演化路径。通过构建政府、回收商和居民三方演化博弈模型，分析了各参与主体的决策行为及其影响因素。研究发现，政府与居民的监督意愿对回收商选择正规回收模式具有显著影响，尤其是居民的监督效果更为明显。此外，提高回收商正规回收的收益能够有效促使其转向正规回收，而降低不正规回收的收益则只能减缓其转向非正规回收的速度。基于此，本文建议政府应鼓励回收商进行技术升级，并通过补贴政策支持其转型，同时构建居民监督平台，以促进废旧动力电池的可持续回收。

Abstract: This paper investigates the strategic choices and evolutionary paths of recyclers between formal and informal recycling modes in the process of recycling used power batteries from new energy vehicles. By constructing a tripartite evolutionary game model involving the government, recyclers, and residents, the decision-making behaviors of each participant and their influencing factors are analyzed. The study finds that the willingness of the government and residents to supervise significantly influences recyclers’ choice of formal recycling modes, with the supervision effect of residents being particularly pronounced. Additionally, increasing the profits from formal recycling can effectively encourage recyclers to switch to formal recycling, while reducing the profits from informal recycling can only slow down their shift towards informal recycling. Based on these findings, the paper recommends that the government should encourage recyclers to upgrade their technologies and support their transition through subsidy policies, while also establishing resident supervision platforms to promote the sustainable recycling of used power batteries.