商家促销问题的演化博弈
Evolutionary Game of Business Promotion Problem
摘要: 如今,随着我国市场经济的持续发展和日益完善,市场竞争变得愈加激烈。无论是线上平台还是线下实体商家,都在寻求提升自身商品核心竞争力的途径。在这种背景下,商家往往通过各种促销活动来吸引消费者。然而,这些促销手段的使用也伴随着诸多问题的出现。本文基于有限理性,结合演化博弈理论,构建了商家、政府和消费者之间的三方博弈模型。通过合理设置相关参数,推导出复制动态方程,并分析了各方在博弈中的策略选择对系统演化稳定性的影响。此外,本文还探讨了不同参数变化对博弈结果的影响,并利用MATLAB数值仿真验证了该理论模型的正确性。
Abstract: Nowadays, with the continuous development and increasing perfection of China’s market economy, market competition has become increasingly fierce. Both online platforms and offline physical merchants are seeking ways to enhance the core competitiveness of their products. Against this backdrop, merchants often resort to various promotional activities to attract consumers. However, the use of these promotional means is also accompanied by the emergence of many problems. Based on bounded rationality and combined with the evolutionary game theory, this paper constructs a tripartite game model among merchants, the government, and consumers. By reasonably setting relevant parameters, the replication dynamic equations are derived, and the impact of the strategic choices of all parties in the game on the evolutionary stability of the system is analyzed. In addition, this paper explores the impact of changes in different parameters on the game results and verifies the correctness of the theoretical model through MATLAB simulation.
参考文献
|
[1]
|
侯书森. 市场营销学∙精华读本[M]. 北京: 民主与建设出版社, 2001.
|
|
[2]
|
赵国柱. 市场营销学理论与应用[M]. 北京: 中国物资出版社, 2004.
|
|
[3]
|
吴健安. 市场营销学[M]. 北京: 高等教育出版社, 2004.
|
|
[4]
|
白洋洋. 博弈视角下的线上商家促销策略研究[D]: [硕士学位论文]. 北京: 北京邮电大学, 2020.
|
|
[5]
|
沈国明, 许小东. 商家促销活动的博弈分析[J]. 金融经济, 2016(20): 175-176.
|
|
[6]
|
顾春梅. 促销行为的博弈分析——兼论“满就送”促销方式的科学性[J]. 商业经济与管理, 2002(3): 15-18.
|
|
[7]
|
赵金实, 霍佳震. 基于消费者行为的零售商双边博弈策略研究[J]. 南开管理评论, 2010, 13(3): 22-25.
|
|
[8]
|
高平. 会员卡定向促销的博弈分析[J]. 江苏商论, 2010(10): 26-29.
|
|
[9]
|
卢方元. 降价促销行为的博弈分析[J]. 市场研究, 2004(2): 38-39.
|
|
[10]
|
薛玉林, 吕廷杰, 齐佳音, 等. “双11”促销活动中羊群效应的博弈分析[J]. 技术经济与管理研究, 2014(9): 3-6.
|
|
[11]
|
曹霞, 张路蓬. 企业绿色技术创新扩散的演化博弈分析[J]. 中国人口∙资源与环境, 2015, 25(7): 68-76.
|
|
[12]
|
孟婷. 对零售商促销策略的经济学分析[D]: [硕士学位论文]. 北京: 首都经济贸易大学, 2011.
|
|
[13]
|
曾德宏. 多群体演化博弈均衡的渐近稳定性分析及其应用[D]: [硕士学位论文]. 广州: 暨南大学, 2012.
|
|
[14]
|
约翰∙梅纳德∙史密斯. 演化与博弈[M]. 上海: 复旦大学出版社, 2008.
|