数字经济发展对我国出口贸易的影响分析——基于31省市的面板数据

Analysis of the Impact of Digital Economy Development on China’s Export Trade—Based on the Panel Data of 31 Provinces and Cities

摘要: 本文选取2011~2022年31个省市的面板数据测算数字经济发展水平，并以数字经济指数作为核心解释变量，选取人力资源状况、国内生产总值、外国直接投资为控制变量，进行实证分析其对我国出口贸易的具体影响。研究结果表明：数字经济显著促进了我国的出口贸易发展，且存在地区差异。当然数字经济快速发展的同时也存在着诸多问题，比如数字基础设施的建设、环境影响等方面。因此本文提出缩小数字经济地区差异、重视数字经济基础设施建设、优化数字经济环境等相应的对策建议。

Abstract: This paper selects the panel data of 31 provinces and cities from 2011 to 2022 to measure the level of digital economy development, and takes the digital economy index as the core explanatory variable. It selects the status of human resources, gross domestic product (GDP), and foreign direct investment as control variables to conduct an empirical analysis of its specific impact on China’s export trade. The research results show that the digital economy has significantly promoted the development of China’s export trade, with regional differences. Of course, with the rapid development of the digital economy, there are also many problems, such as the construction of digital infrastructure and environmental impact. Therefore, this paper puts forward corresponding countermeasures and suggestions, such as narrowing the regional differences of the digital economy, paying attention to the construction of digital economy infrastructure, and optimizing the digital economy environment.