数字经济对农业经济韧性的影响效应及机制分析

The Impact Effect and Mechanism of Digital Economy on the Resilience of Agricultural Economy

摘要: 数字经济的发展为农业强国建设提供了强劲动力。文章利用2011~2022年中国省际面板数据，实证考察了数字经济对农业经济韧性的影响效用及其作用机制。构建固定效应回归模型和中介效用模型，进行实证分析。结果表明：数字经济对农业经济韧性提升具有显著的正向作用，机制检验发现，劳动力水平是数字经济赋能农业经济韧性的重要传导渠道。异质性分析进一步揭示，数字经济对非粮食主产区和低城镇化率省份的农业经济韧性提升效果更为明显。本研究不仅为理解数字经济与农业经济韧性关系提供了新的经验证据，也为不同区域制定差异化的数字农业发展政策提供了重要参考依据。

Abstract: Based on the provincial panel data of China from 2011 to 2022, this paper empirically examines the impact effect and the mechanism of digital economy on the resilience of agricultural economy. The study first constructs an index system to measure the level of digital economy and the resilience level of agricultural economy respectively, and then systematically analyzes the relationship between the two through a statistical model. The results show that digital economy has a significant promoting effect on the enhancement of agricultural economic resilience, and this conclusion still holds after a series of robustness tests. Mechanism testing reveals that the labor force level is an important transmission channel for digital economy to empower the resilience of agricultural economy. Heterogeneity analysis further reveals that the digital economy has a more obvious effect on enhancing the resilience of agricultural economy in non-grain-producing areas and provinces with low urbanization rates. This study not only provides new empirical evidence for understanding the relationship between digital economy and agricultural economic resilience, but also provides important reference basis for formulating differentiated digital agriculture development policies in different regions.