基于CiteSpace的国内能源消费碳排放研究热点和发展趋势分析

Analysis of Research Hotspots and Development Trends in Domestic Energy Consumption Carbon Emissions Based on CiteSpace

摘要: 本文基于中国知网(CNKI) 2009~2024年的210篇CSSCI文献，运用CiteSpace可视化工具，通过关键词共现、聚类分析及时区图谱、突现词图谱等方法，系统探究国内能源消费碳排放领域的研究热点与发展趋势。研究发现，研究热点集中于碳排放、能源消费、低碳经济、碳达峰、碳中和等核心关键词，形成减排潜力、能源消费、气候变化等八大聚类主题，体现能源–经济–环境系统的多维关联。此外，该领域的发展历程可划分为三个阶段，初步探索阶段(2009~2013年)聚焦低碳经济模式构建与能源–产业结构调整，深化探索阶段(2014~2020年)深入挖掘驱动因素与作用机制，目标聚焦及前沿阶段(2021~2024年)以“双碳”战略为导向探索系统性转型路径，研究为后续政策制定与学术研究提供了理论参考与可视化支撑。

Abstract: This study utilizes 210 CSSCI-indexed documents from China National Knowledge Infrastructure (CNKI) between 2009 and 2024, employing CiteSpace visualization tools to systematically explore research hotspots and development trends in the field of domestic energy consumption and carbon emissions. Methods include keyword co-occurrence analysis, clustering analysis, temporal zone maps, and emergent term maps. The study found that research hotspots are concentrated around core keywords such as carbon emissions, energy consumption, low-carbon economy, carbon peaking, and carbon neutrality, forming eight major clustering themes including emission reduction potential, energy consumption, and climate change, reflecting the multidimensional interconnections within the energy-economy-environment system. Additionally, the development trajectory of this field can be divided into three stages: the preliminary exploration stage (2009~2013) focused on the construction of low-carbon economic models and adjustments to energy-industrial structures, the deep exploration stage (2014~2020) delved into driving factors and mechanisms, and the goal-focused and frontier stage (2021~2024) explores systemic transformation pathways guided by the “dual carbon” strategy. The research provides theoretical references and visualization support for subsequent policy formulation and academic studies.