人工智能对地区产业结构升级的影响

The Impact of Artificial Intelligence on Regional Industrial Structure Upgrading

摘要: 人工智能在推动中国产业结构升级中扮演着重要的角色，是新质生产力的重要引擎。本文以2009~2022年中国省域面板资料为基础，从区域省际层面考察人工智能对产业结构升级的影响效果和作用通路。研究发现，人工智能间接驱动产业结构升级的作用渠道——劳动力结构优化，总体上可以促进产业结构转型升级；分区域回归结构显示内地人工智能发展成效更加显著；分区域回归结构表明，人工智能发展在内陆地区有着更为显著的效果。在此基础上，提出了加快智能基础设施建设，优化区域劳动力结构，发挥区域比较优势的对策。

Abstract: Artificial intelligence serves as a key driver of new productive forces and plays a significant role in promoting industrial structure upgrading in China. This paper examines the impact and channels through which AI influences industrial structure upgrading at the inter-provincial level in China, based on provincial panel data from 2009 to 2022. The study finds that AI generally promotes industrial structure upgrading, with labor force structure optimization serving as the indirect channel through which AI drives industrial structure upgrading. Regional regression analysis indicates that AI development has a more significant effect in inland regions. Based on these findings, this paper proposes policy recommendations in three areas: enhancing the construction of intelligent infrastructure, optimizing regional labor force structures, and leveraging regional comparative advantages.