低碳城市试点政策对就业的影响研究——基于长三角城市群的实证研究
The Impact of Low-Carbon City Pilot Policies on Employment—An Empirical Study Based on the Yangtze River Delta Urban Agglomeration
摘要: 本文聚焦就业和环境保护这两个目前引人关注的论题，使用2005~2021年中国长三角地区沪深股市A股上市企业的数据，选择多期双重差分的方法实证研究低碳城市试点政策对就业的影响，为确保研究的有效性进行平行趋势检验和稳健性检验。研究结果表明，低碳城市试点政策对企业的就业水平具有较为显著的正向影响，主要通过产出效应和要素替代效应影响就业水平，其中绿色技术创新和环境治理投入效果显著；试点政策对不同的企业存在显著的异质性，能够显著地促进融资约束小的企业和非重污染企业就业。这项研究的结论不仅为在全国范围内推广和优化低碳试点工作提供了重要的政策参考，也为今后低碳城市试点政策在推动经济高质量发展中的有效性和稳定企业就业提供了实证支持。
Abstract: This study focuses on two highly relevant topics: employment and environmental protection. Using panel data of A-share listed companies in the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets located in China’s Yangtze River Delta region from 2005 to 2021, this paper adopts a multi-period DID framework approach to empirically assess the influence of the Low-Carbon City Pilot (LCCP) policy on employment outcomes. To ensure the validity of the analysis, parallel trend and robustness tests are conducted. The results indicate that the LCCP policy has a significantly positive effect on corporate employment levels, primarily through output effects and factor substitution effects. In particular, green technological innovation and environmental governance investment are found to play key roles. The impact of the policy varies across different types of firms, with a notably stronger positive effect on firms with fewer financing constraints and those not classified as heavily polluting. These findings offer valuable policy insights for expanding and refining low-carbon pilot programs nationwide and provide empirical support for the effectiveness of such policies in promoting high-quality economic development and stabilizing.
文章引用：李雅楠, 张乐奕. 低碳城市试点政策对就业的影响研究——基于长三角城市群的实证研究[J]. 建模与仿真, 2025, 14(9): 185-195. https://doi.org/10.12677/mos.2025.149595

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