基于熵权TOPSIS法的林业产业化发展水平与障碍度决策分析——以广东省为例

Decision Analysis on Development Level and Obstacle Degree of Forestry Industrialization Based on Entropy Weight TOPSIS Method—Taking Guangdong Province as an Example

摘要: 林业产业对生态、经济和社会效益具有重要影响。本文研究林业在产业化过程中的发展水平与障碍因素，构建了一个包含森林资源、林业管理与保护、林业经济、农业与环境污染、农场与造林活动、木材与林产品生产六个维度的综合评价指标体系，并应用熵权TOPSIS法对产业化发展水平进行评估。以广东省为例进行实证分析，结果显示，广东省在森林资源保护、生态治理和林业经济发展等方面取得了良好成效。发展水平得分中森林覆盖率和林业用地面积分数较高，分别为0.598和0.627；在障碍因子方面，森林病害防治面积的障碍度最高，为0.186。这说明林业产业化过程中仍面临一些障碍，特别是在森林资源保护、产业结构优化和支柱产业发展方面。本文进一步探讨了主要障碍度和各方面发展水平的影响，并提出优化产业结构、加强森林病害防治以及持续推进污染治理等政策决策建议，为广东省林业产业化高质量发展提供决策参考。

Abstract: The forestry industry has an important impact on ecological, economic, and social benefits. This paper studies the development level and obstacles of forestry in the process of industrialization, constructs a comprehensive evaluation index system including six dimensions: forest resources, forestry management and protection, forestry economy, agriculture and environmental pollution, farm and afforestation activities, and wood and forest products production, and evaluates the industrialization development level by using the entropy TOPSIS method. This paper takes Guangdong Province as an example for empirical analysis. The results show that Guangdong province has achieved good results in forest resources protection, ecological management, and forestry economic development. In the development level, the forest coverage rate and forest land area scores are higher, 0.598 and 0.627, respectively. In terms of obstacle factors, the obstacle degree of the forest disease control area is the highest, at 0.186. This shows that there are still some obstacles in the process of forestry industrialization, especially in the protection of forest resources, optimization of industrial structure, and development of pillar industries. This paper further discusses the influence of the main obstacles and the development level in all aspects, and puts forward some policy suggestions, such as optimizing the industrial structure, strengthening the prevention and control of forest diseases, and continuously promoting pollution control, providing decision-making references for the high-quality development of forestry industrialization in Guangdong.