跨境电商综试区与经济韧性——基于我国地级市的准自然实验检验

Cross-Border E-Commerce Comprehensive Pilot Zone and Economic Resilience—Based on Quasi-Natural Experimental Testing in Our Country’s Prefecture-Level Cities

摘要: 本文在厘清跨境电商综试区影响城市经济韧性理论机制的基础上，以中国跨境电商综试区的设立政策为一项准自然实验，选取2010~2022年我国地级市作为研究样本，采用DID模型检验跨境电商综试区的设立对城市经济韧性的影响。研究发现，跨境电商综试区政策可以提高城市经济韧性水平；综试区的设立能够更好地提升东、西部的城市经济韧性，且设立时间最早的批次，其政策效果最明显；跨境电商综试区通过激励创新和促进就业有效加强了城市经济韧性。本文为更好地利用跨境电商综试区政策促进城市经济韧性的提升、推动城市产业转型升级提供了参考依据。

Abstract: Based on clarifying the theoretical mechanism of cross-border e-commerce comprehensive pilot zone’s influence on urban economic resilience, this study treats China’s policy of setting up cross-border e-commerce comprehensive pilot zones as a quasi-natural experiment, selects prefecture-level cities in China from 2010 to 2022 as research samples, and adopts the DID model to examine the effect of establishing cross-border e-commerce comprehensive pilot zones on urban economic resilience. The study reveals that the policy regarding cross-border e-commerce comprehensive pilot zones can improve the level of urban economic resilience; the establishment of comprehensive pilot zones can better enhance the urban economic resilience in the eastern and western regions, and the earliest establishment time has the most obvious policy effect; the foreign investment access policy effectively strengthens urban economic resilience by stimulating innovation and promoting employment. This paper provides a reference basis for making better use of the policy of cross-border e-commerce comprehensive pilot zones to promote the improvement of urban economic resilience and promote the transformation and upgrading of urban industries.