数字新质生产力驱动四川餐饮业韧性提升机制及路径研究

Research on the Mechanism and Path of Digital New Quality Productivity Driving the Resilience Improvement of Sichuan Catering Industry

摘要: 本文以2014~2024年四川餐饮业面板数据为研究样本，旨在探究数字新质生产力对四川餐饮业韧性的影响机制。研究构建了“抵御–恢复–适应”三维度餐饮业韧性指标体系，以及包含数字基础与算力、企业端数字应用、平台生态嵌入、人才与创新的四维度数字新质生产力指数，运用动态面板模型、中介效应检验和门槛效应模型进行实证分析。结果显示：数字新质生产力对四川餐饮业韧性具有显著正向促进作用，且对适应韧性的影响最强，对恢复韧性和抵御韧性的影响依次减弱；供应链韧性、平台赋能、组织内控数字化在二者关系中发挥中介作用，总中介效应占比83.6%，其中供应链韧性的中介效应占比最高(34.5%)；区域数字基础设施与制度环境存在正向调节效应，数字基建水平高的区域及规模较大、连锁化程度高的企业，数字新质生产力对餐饮业韧性的促进作用更显著。本研究为理解数字经济时代餐饮业韧性提升提供了理论参考，也为四川餐饮业数字化转型实践提供了“供应链筑基、平台赋能、内控提效、政策护航”的具体路径。

Abstract: This study employs panel data from Sichuan’s catering industry (2014~2024) to investigate the impact mechanism of digital new-quality productivity on resilience. We developed a three-dimensional resilience index system (“resilience-restore-adaptation”) and a four-dimensional digital new-quality productivity index encompassing digital infrastructure, enterprise digital applications, platform ecosystem integration, and talent innovation. Empirical analysis using dynamic panel models, mediation effect tests, and threshold effect models reveals that digital new-quality productivity significantly enhances Sichuan's catering industry resilience, with the strongest influence on adaptive resilience followed by restorative and defensive resilience. Mediating roles were identified for supply chain resilience, platform empowerment, and organizational digitalization controls, accounting for 83.6% of total mediation effects, particularly with supply chain resilience contributing the most (34.5%). Positive moderating effects were observed in regional digital infrastructure and institutional environment, where areas with advanced digital infrastructure and larger-scale chain enterprises demonstrated more pronounced resilience enhancement. This research provides theoretical insights for enhancing catering industry resilience in the digital economy era and offers practical pathways for Sichuan's digital transformation through “supply chain foundation-building, platform empowerment, internal control optimization, and policy support”.