河南省能源消费碳排放足迹研究
Research on the Carbon Emission Footprint of Energy Consumption in Henan Province
摘要: 能源是人类生存和社会经济发展的基石，研究能源消费的碳足迹可以测算能源消费对生态系统和环境系统造成的压力和提升能源消费效率，因此该研究具有重要的现实意义。本文通过计算得出2005~2017年河南省能源消费碳排放足迹，得出河南省经济发展过程中面对的资源环境和生态状况并不乐观；接着对河南省能源消费碳排放足迹进行了因素分解分析，结果显示：经济发展因素正向促进能源消费碳排放足迹，能源效率因素会起抑制作用，而结构因素和人口因素影响效果不是很明显；接着在能源结构优化背景下对河南省能源消费碳足迹进行了预测，由于“河南省污染防治攻坚战三年行动计划”以及“十三五”节能减排综合工作方案等政策的实施，截止2021年底能源消费碳足迹预测与2015年相比下降达到5%；最后依据分析结果提出针对性建议。本文在研究过程中主要创新点有两个：第一，分析河南能源结构的环境影响并刻画了影响因素；第二，评估了河南能源政策对环境的改善作用。
Abstract: Both human life and economic development heavily depend on energy consumption and the carbon footprint of energy consumption can measure the effects of energy consumption on ecosystems and environmental systems. With a carbon footprint, this article analyzes the environmental effects of energy consumption from 2005 to 2017 and evaluates the corresponding energy policies in Henan Province. First, this article concludes that the environmental resources and ecological conditions faced by Henan Province during its economic development are not optimistic. Second, the factor decomposition analysis of the carbon footprint of energy consumption in Henan province is carried out. Economic development factors are positively promoting the carbon footprint of energy consumption, and energy efficiency factors will play an inhibiting role, while structural factors and population factors are not obvious. Third, by optimizing energy structure, the carbon footprint of energy consumption in Henan Province was predicted. Due to the implementation of the “Three-Year Action Plan for Pollution Prevention and Control in Henan Province” and the “13th Five-Year Plan” comprehensive energy saving and emission reduction work plan, the end of 2021 Carbon footprint of energy consumption is forecast to decrease by 5% compared to 2015. Finally, targeted recommendations are presented to improve the environment of Henan Province.
文章引用：王亚丽. 河南省能源消费碳排放足迹研究[J]. 低碳经济, 2025, 14(4): 410-422. https://doi.org/10.12677/jlce.2025.144043

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