四川省城乡融合发展水平测度及影响因素分析
Measurement of the Level of Urban-Rural Integrated Development and Analysis of Its Influencing Factors in Sichuan Province
摘要: 本文以四川省21个地级市(自治州)为研究对象，基于2014~2023年面板数据，从理论与实证双维度分析城乡融合发展的时空特征与影响机制。研究表明：(1) 2014~2023年四川省城乡融合发展水平持续提升，但增速呈“前快后缓”特征。(2) 社会融合与经济融合是核心驱动，科技支出占比、非农产业与农业产出比等指标贡献度最高。(3) 空间上形成以成都为单极核心、多梯队协同演进的非均衡结构，区域差异显著。(4) 政府干预、要素流动与产业结构是稳健影响因素，且驱动机制存在区域异质性。
Abstract: This study takes 21 prefecture-level cities (autonomous prefectures) in Sichuan Province as the research objects, and based on panel data from 2014 to 2023, analyzes the spatiotemporal characteristics and influencing mechanisms of urban-rural integrated development from both theoretical and empirical perspectives. The results show that: (1) From 2014 to 2023, the level of urban-rural integrated development in Sichuan Province has been continuously improving, but the growth rate has exhibited a “fast first and then slow” trend. (2) Social integration and economic integration are the core drivers, with indicators such as the proportion of scientific and technological expenditure and the output ratio of non-agricultural industries to agriculture contributing the most. (3) Spatially, an unbalanced structure has been formed with Chengdu as the single-core hub and multi-echelon coordinated evolution, featuring significant regional differences. (4) Government intervention, factor mobility, and industrial structure are robust influencing factors, and the driving mechanisms exhibit regional heterogeneity.
文章引用：任堃宇. 四川省城乡融合发展水平测度及影响因素分析[J]. 现代管理, 2026, 16(1): 59-70. https://doi.org/10.12677/mm.2026.161007

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