中国数字服务贸易发展影响因素研究

The Influencing Factors of China’s Digital Service Trade Development

摘要: 本文以中国数字服务贸易作为研究的核心对象，重点分析影响该领域发展的关键因素。回顾国内外在数字服务贸易领域已有的学术成果，系统地梳理相关文献资料，结合整理得出的MS指数、TC指数和RCA指数，研究发现中国数字服务贸易呈现出一定的发展潜力，但整体竞争力较弱，从细分领域看，其他商业服务发展相对较快，整体上发展不平衡。进一步利用回归模型对影响其发展的因素进行研究，发现随着我国经济、基础设施建设的发展和创新能力的提高，数字服务贸易发展水平在不断地提升。因此，对于现有的数字服务贸易模式，应深化制度型开放、强化创新与人才培养、促进数字融合与产业升级，从而推动中国数字服务贸易进一步发展。

Abstract: This paper focuses on China’s digital services trade as its core subject of study, analysing key factors influencing development within this sector. By reviewing existing academic research both domestically and internationally in the field of digital services trade, systematically collating relevant literature, and integrating the derived MS Index, TC Index, and RCA Index, the study finds that China’s digital services trade exhibits considerable development potential yet suffers from overall weak competitiveness. Examining sub-sectors reveals relatively rapid growth in other business services, though development remains uneven across the board. Further regression modelling reveals that China’s digital services trade development level is steadily improving alongside economic growth, infrastructure advancement, and enhanced innovation capabilities. Therefore, with regard to the existing digital services trade model, efforts should be made to deepen institutional opening-up, strengthen innovation and talent development, and promote digital integration and industrial upgrading, thereby driving the further advancement of China’s digital services trade.