数字经济、新质生产力与乡村振兴

Digital Economy, New Quality Productive Forces, and Rural Revitalization

摘要: 本文基于中国30个省份2012~2022年的面板数据，实证分析数字经济对乡村振兴的影响，并检验新质生产力的中介作用。研究发现，数字经济对乡村振兴具有显著促进作用，同时数字经济还能通过促进新质生产力发展间接作用于乡村振兴。异质性分析发现，相较于经济发达地区，数字经济对经济欠发达地区乡村振兴的促进作用更为突出，同时，数字经济对粮食主产区和主销区的乡村振兴有推动作用，而对产销平衡区的乡村振兴存在一定的抑制效果。因此，应加大对农村数字基础设施建设的投入，缩小城乡数字鸿沟，为数字经济深度融入乡村发展筑牢根基。

Abstract: Based on panel data from 30 Chinese provinces spanning from 2012 to 2022, this paper empirically analyzes the impact of the digital economy on rural revitalization and examines the mediating role of new quality productive forces. The study finds that the digital economy significantly promotes rural revitalization and also indirectly contributes to it by fostering the development of new quality productive forces. Heterogeneity analysis reveals that the promoting effect of the digital economy on rural revitalization is more pronounced in economically underdeveloped regions compared to developed regions. Furthermore, the digital economy drives rural revitalization in major grain-producing and grain-consuming regions, while exhibiting a certain inhibitory effect in grain production-consumption balanced regions. Therefore, it is essential to increase investment in rural digital infrastructure, narrow the urban-rural digital divide, and lay a solid foundation for the deep integration of the digital economy into rural development.