绿色数字经济与新质生产力耦合协调的时空演化及障碍度分析

Spatio-Temporal Evolution and Obstacle Degree Analysis of the Coupling Coordination between Green Digital Economy and New Quality Productive Forces

摘要: 绿色数字经济与新质生产力深度融合，已成为推动经济高质量发展与生态环境协同优化的核心动力。本文基于2014~2023年中国30个省级面板数据，实证分析绿色数字经济与新质生产力耦合协调的时空演化特征及障碍因子。研究表明：我国绿色数字经济与新质生产力综合水平持续提升，二者耦合协调度呈稳步上升态势，空间上呈现显著的集聚效应；准则层障碍因子按障碍度排序依次为数字产业化、新质劳动对象、产业数字化、新质劳动资料、新质劳动力、环境治理数字化，且不同时段与区域的指标层障碍因子存在明显的异质性。

Abstract: The deep integration of the green digital economy and new quality productive forces has become the core driving force for promoting high-quality economic development and the coordinated optimization of the ecological environment. Based on panel data of 30 provinces in China from 2014 to 2023, this paper empirically analyzes the spatio-temporal evolution characteristics and obstacle factors of the coupling coordination between the green digital economy and new quality productive forces. The results show that the comprehensive level of China’s green digital economy and new quality productive forces continues to improve, and their coupling coordination degree shows a steady upward trend with a significant spatial agglomeration effect. The criterion-level obstacle factors ranked by obstacle degree are digital industrialization, new quality objects of labor, industrial digitalization, new quality means of labor, new quality labor force, and digitalization of environmental governance. There is obvious heterogeneity in the index-level obstacle factors across different periods and regions.